My two cents on Mark Benioff’s comment that Windows 8 will be the death of Windows

After reading the article that Onuora wrote about what Marc Benioff from Salesforce.com said about Windows 8 I had to put my two cents in.

I had to re-write the article because at first I was shocked at what Benioff said, but then I was talking to a friend of mine about it and he kind of made me see things a little differently.

I don’t think Windows 8 will be the death of Windows, but maybe the death of Windows as we know it.

I myself am not sure how Windows 8 will do in the non-touch market. I’ve been using it for a while and have gotten used to it and like it, and some will, but maybe many won’t. Now my friend said something that made me think. Most people, consumers and businesses don’t need big towers.

They can use a tablet or a hybrid device, sure some may want to hook them up to a bigger screen but Windows 8 looks great on big screens. Most people as is buy laptops, I am one of the few of my friends that actually has a big tower PC, so going from a laptop to a tablet or hybrid device makes sense for them.

I’m not saying the PC will go away all together, this is where my friend and I disagreed. I think gamers will still want powerful PC’s, with powerful graphics and speed. My friend on the other hand thinks that gaming companies will make future games for Windows 8 Tiled start menu (or for Android, and iOS) and People will think they are good enough.

I think gamers will want games that look as good on a 21”monitor or 55” TV as they do on their phone or tablet. Now I haven’t seen a tablet or phone game played on a big screen so I don’t know for sure, so maybe until I do I’ll just leave my comment at that.

Then Mr. Benioff says “Windows has become “irrelevant,” being displaced by next-generation LTE wireless networks that will “disintermediate” the need for WANs and LANs, along with “all of these great services that are available right off the cloud.”

Now this is where my friend and I really disagree. I think if LTE had no data caps, tethering was free or cheaper, coverage was better, and speeds were faster, I might agree. My friend feels 4GB a month for most people is good enough. Maybe for mobile, but when you get into home and office usage I think 4GB’s is way too little.

4GB’s may be ok for people who just do email, maybe some light internet surfing, and watch limited videos, but for a lot of people I think it would be too little for home use.

I also think that data caps limit technology, for instance people might stream more music and movies on their devices more, and streaming game technologies like OnLive might make more sense for mobile without caps (even though OnLive isn’t doing well, but I think that’s more to do with their pricing than the technology itself.

That’s another story though). It would be nice to have another choice for home and business internet service but at the moment LTE isn’t it.
Benioff then made reference to a global CIO he spoke to.

“Her goal is to get rid of all of the PCs,” Benioff said. “She doesn’t see a demand curve from users for PCs.” Instead, the CIO is hoping to move to a BYOD (bring-your-own-device) approach, Benioff said. Next-generation mobile devices have “forced CIOs to make changes already,” he added.

This could have been taking a couple of ways. She wants to get rid of the PC. That doesn’t mean she wants to get rid of Microsoft products, with a BYOD infrastructure people could use Android devices, iOS device or even Windows 8 devices. She’s just saying that she wants to move to mobile devices instead of PC’s and if her company can do this, that’s fine and maybe Windows 8 devices with its backwards compatibility might be best for them?

Just because she’s trying to movie her company away from PC’s doesn’t mean she’s trying to keep them off of Windows software either. With Windows 8 they can still use Office and other software that employees are used to using.

If they switch to another OS employees will have to get retrained for a different software that they’re not accustomed to and that may not be as powerful as the Microsoft option. So Benioff may have twisted what this CIO meant to meet his way of thinking.

I’m not saying Windows 8 will be popular with businesses, it might not. I think either most businesses will stick with Windows 7 until a later version of Windows comes out that either has a stronger business ecosystem and/or Microsoft does something compelling that businesses need or want. I think Windows 8 will do well on tablets, but people who want PC’s with keyboard and mouse they may stick it out with Windows 7 for a while longer.

I think Mr. Benioff is ruling against Microsoft to soon. Just because he doesn’t like something doesn’t mean other won’t as well. I don’t like Apple products, but millions of people buy them. I don’t see over 1 billion people switching from Windows to something else, I just don’t.

I just found an article by Ed Bott on ZDNet that basically says things we’re hearing about Windows 8 now was said about Windows XP when it first came out. Here it is. http://zd.net/TNPmWT

What do you think?

Is Marc Benioff right? Or is Ed Bott right?

I agree with Ed Bott.

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