I just love the Gartner Group and am a fan of absolutely everything they say because they are soooo smart… 🙂
Research group Gartner indicated that it expects global PC shipments to grow 9.3 percent this year to 385 million units, down from its previous forecast of 10.5 percent, the Associated Foreign Press reports. Gartner had arrived at the 10.5 percent number in March after lowering its forecast from 15.9 percent growth in 2011.
“Consumer mobile PCs are no longer driving growth, because of sharply declining consumer interest in mini-notebooks,” Gartner research director Ranjit Atwal said in a statement.
Atwal also sees the iPad as affecting sales, though he believes consumers are merely using the iPad to put off new PC purchases, rather than fully replace them. “Media tablets, such as the iPad, have also impacted mobile growth, but more because they have caused consumers to delay new mobile PC purchases rather than directly replacing aging mobile PCs with media tablets,” he said. “We believe direct substitution of media tablets for mobile PCs will be minimal.”
Gartner sees businesses as driving PC growth this year, as consumers appear to be “maintaining a tight rein on their spending” because of economic uncertainty. “Businesses sharply reduced replacements and extended PC lifetimes in response to the recession,” said research analyst Raphael Vasquez. “Businesses have begun replacing aging PCs more vigorously.”