Is Windows 8 Shaping Up to be More Like Vista?

Is Windows 8 Shaping Up to be More Like Vista?

Windows 8 adoption has so far looked more like that of Vista in 2007, a poor performer, unlike the successful Windows 7. According to web analytics firm Net Applications, 1.2% of all Windows PCs ran Windows 8 in November. While this is more than double its share over the prior month, by way of comparison, Vistas share from January to February increased more than five times.

The difference probably has little to do with the two operating systems and more with economics and choice. Windows 8’s gains last month were dull compared to Windows 7 s in 2009. By the end of the upgrades first full month, it had captured 4.3% of Windows.

The November gain of Windows 8 was its best since Net Applications began tracking the new operating system. Its pace was much slower than that of Windows 7. Windows 7 added two percentage points in its first month after launch, while Windows 8 added only seven tenths of a point, less than half of that of Windows 7’s.

Windows 8 may even have trouble keeping up with Vista which accounted for 2.2% of all copies of Windows by the end of its second month. To be even with that, Windows 8 would have to add another whole percentage point to its market share in December. Net Applications’ statistics give more data that showed that Windows 8 isn’t inspiring consumers or businesses to buy new PCs.

An NPD group report states that in four weeks since the launch of Windows 8, U.S consumer PC sales dropped 21% compared to the same period in 2011.

The usage data also supports the fact that Microsoft sold 40 million Windows 8 licenses, comparable with Windows 7’s first month, although it was noted that many of those licenses were tied to PC’s that weren’t sold. This shows that Microsoft’s numbers did not represent real world use.

The bulk of Windows 8’s increase last month came at the expense of XP. Data can be misleading though, as there is a chance that some of the lost XP-Powered systems were replaced by those running Windows 7. That is because a Windows 8 upgrade probably comes from Windows 7.

There were two transfers of windows market share last month, one from XP to Windows 7 and the other from Windows 7 to Windows 8. The bottom line is that most analysts now predict a weak reception for Windows 8. What do you think?

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