Research firm IDC is not expecting there to be many upgrades to Windows 8 in the coming years. They think that not a lot of people will want to upgrade to Windows 8 because it isn’t traditional as a computer operating system. As a matter of fact, IDC isn’t expecting traditional users to show much interest in Windows 8 at all.
IDC said that, “Microsoft is facing a tough sell with the new operating system, because it’s trying to span two worlds by offering one platform for tablets and conventional PCs.”
This in part might be true, Windows 8 does seem to favor tablets a bit more over traditional computers with its touch optimized, default Metro user interface. Metro does work with point and click, and I might even say that it works with point and click better than any other current phone or tablet operating system would.
But there’s only some evidence to back up that last claim that I made. There’s only been a few instances where a point and click machine has been able to use a traditional touch based user interface besides Windows 8. The first is iCloud, (or at least what I’ve seen of it.)
The log in screen on iCloud uses the same user interface as Apple’s iOS. The other time I have seen it is when there is a laptop dock for a phone, and basically you are using your phone as a laptop. So that is when you can use Android with point and click.
“Windows 8 will be largely irrelevant to the users of traditional PCs,” said IDC. “We expect effectively no upgrade activity from Windows 7 to Windows 8 in that form factor.”
Analyst from IDC, Al Gillen, explained the reason for this prediction of doom for Windows 8, “Customers will be asking, What value does Windows 8 bring to my desktops and laptops?’ And the only real value I can see is it provides access to the Windows app store.”
The app store, in my opinion, is actually a pretty big reason to buy Windows 8. Where else can you get a lot of Microsoft certified Windows apps in one place. Just like the Apple App Store draws people to buy the iPhone, iPad, and iPod Touch, the Windows 8 app store will draw people to buy Windows 8.
Gillen says that enterprises will be slow to adopt Windows 8, due to many of them adopting Windows 7 for the first time this year. He also stated something about application compatibility with Windows 8.
Micheal Silver, an analyst from Gartner, agrees with Gillen’s statement about companies being slow to adopt Windows 8 due to Windows 7 adoption. He says that “migration fatigue” will be a big factor in whether Windows 8 is largely adopted in companies, “After all the work on Windows 7 deployment, organizations will think twice about deploying [Windows 8],” Silver said in September. “They’re looking for a little respite.”
I completely agree with the point about less of a Windows 8 adoption in companies due to the recent Windows 7 adoption because I have seen a slight pattern in Microsoft’s operating system sales. It may be too soon to tell if this is true, but in the past every other version of Microsoft’s operating system does well.
Windows 95 did amazing for the time period it was being deployed, Windows 98 did well, but not as well as Windows 95, Windows Me flopped, and Windows 2000 flourished (that was mainly because no enterprises bought Windows Me because it was meant for home use) Windows XP sold an amazing amount of copies and remained the market leader for about ten years, Vista flopped, and as far as we can tell, Windows 7 is doing pretty well.
So I hope for Windows 8’s sake that this pattern breaks, but who knows. It’s up to the consumers and the enterprises.